Sunday, February 29, 2004

Excerpt from an article written by Roger Southall, of the Human Sciences Research Council, in 1998:

' far the most important development, and the one which could provide the basis for unity, is that the ANC is now disposed to the IFP as a legitimate alternative expression of African nationalism, whilst in contrast 'Africanists' within the IFP are said to be embracing a pro-ANC view based on the parties enjoying shared African values and a division of black electoral spoils... In contrast linking up with the NP, which is viewed as appealing to a decreasing constituency, seems to have ever less to offer.

I know it's not good form to point out these sorts of failures but I just found it amusing that one of South Africa's pre-eminent political scientists got things so spectacularly wrong. I suppose the lesson here is that in the murky game of SA politics only fools or the very brave venture to make predictions about the future


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